ago. 369%. Food Club seems to have calmed down a little, with far less upsets compared to last week. Outlook for this round: High Risk, Moderate Expected Return. January 29, 2023 714Views Read Time: 4 Minute, 1 Second Happy Kacheek day! This week we end up with markets even insaner than last week with Food Club results. Hahaha I picked up food club for the first time in about a decade this week. Standard set: 11% to bust | 62% to profit. 23 votes, 16 comments. After that we double up on the Orvinn long-shot single upset for value, then play the Fran single upset as well. it's pretty weak too. Actually this is pretty similar to nsheng's set, except I'm using Dan just for the sake of being different I guess lol 81% chance of profiting, 34% chance of at least doubling. So how bout that first round of December, eh? Almost like a bad joke (or a missed opportunity to win 10 million). Food Club will provide a 80-100% return over the long term if you follow nsheng's standard bets. Standard set: 32% to bust | 67% to profit/double | 33% to triple. 4% chance of being a complete bust. Hi everyone! We get a lot of questions on reddit about how to make foodclub bets, so i figured it might be best to make a video! This video will explain how. ago General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs Outlook for this round: High Risk, Very High Expected Return. Then I have one bet as Gooblah alone for +2:10 stack. then the rest of my bets are on all 4 pirates in harpoon, then the two 2:1s from hidden both with and. Standard set: 14% to bust | 86% to break even | 41% to double. Set. 8X while Nsheng standard mitigates the lower floor and offsets into 1. No lie but I actually won 32:10 on the day that nsheng only posted advanced and adventurous sets bc the odds were so bad lmao. shameless plug We've got a big fancy Food Club system in our Discord server, come check it out! Outlook for this round: High Risk, Very High Expected Return. This alt has a higher chance of at least breaking even and of doubling but a lower chance of actually profiting (19% bust, 80% break even, 67% profit, 23% double, 9% triple, TER 12. The amount will be less the less you bet but you will still be positive. shameless plug We've got a big fancy Food Club system in our Discord server, come check it out! Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Low Expected Return. 5. 1. On a related note, I also like to, when betting manually, bet the maximum even if the current odds exceed the limit (1m) just in case the odds change, but I don't think I've ever had it make a. Average Return. 8944. 4x return. . Standard set: 5% to bust | 61% to profit. Taking 1. The trick with food club really is having an old account. Outlook for this round: High Risk, High Expected Return. ago General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs Outlook for this round: High Risk, Very High Expected Return. otherwise all bets are on goobly(2:1)! bets on the non-13:1s from shipwreck, lagoon, and hidden cove for ideally 3 winning bets stacking together. Bet the most you're allowed to and do 10 lines. Standard set: 15% to bust | 78% to profit | 40% to double. To explain Nsheng's logic briefly, you are correct on your safe bets. 8x chance. A thread for people to casually post their bets, discuss, ask questions, etc. Playing Treasure and Harpoon as positive arenas, boosting with Shipwreck and only one pirate from Hidden, because I wanted room for the Dan+Buck booster bet as well. Outlook for this round: High Risk, Very High Expected Return. Only a 23. 8823 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Buck Federismo. Bonnie is as tough as they come and she's about to eat Dan and. Take a chance; throw the dice. in Shipwreck i bet on Bonnie(4:1), Sproggie(3:1), and Stripey(2:1) but i skipped Peg Leg(10:1). Those of you playing this game 35 times daily have my respect and pity. . 8603General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. 97 - same odds as standard, but nixes the . A thread for people to casually post their bets, discuss, ask questions, etc. I used to use JK, but after way too many busts started using Garet’s and have been consistently winning since. Click. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Moderate Expected Return. I always follow nsheng’s standard set cos I’m too chicken to go adventurous. no coverage on any double-upsets. This set makes up for the increased odd hit with a 17. 9%. Food Club Resources Place Bets…The trick with food club really is having an old account. Worth noting that most of the Ship odds pared back to original (sad). I follow a guide and I'm having this same problem. They post on r/neopets fc daily thread. 8899 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Lucky 2:1 2 Dan Lucky 4:1. Outlook for this round: Moderate Risk, Moderate Expected Return. [–] nsheng 60 points 1 day ago*. On the top left corner of the bets table they share, there is a blue number hyperlink that you can click - this number is the round of food club for the next day that you’re placing your bets for. Adventurous - 2. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. I follow Nsheng probably 80% of the time, JKRollingDown the other 20%. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. A new thread is automatically posted shortly after food club “rolls over” which is usually around 2 PM NST (neopets time), but it has been known to be inconsistent, sometimes rolling over a little earlier or even hours later. The cost is a 15% higher bust than I'm normally comfortable with, but comfort is overrated. 3 (inflated) ROI, and likely rocking the RIP discord. 8873 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Gooblah Bonnie Buck 8:1. I usually don't bet this aggressively, but this is the best chance at insane returns. 80:10 on my alt set did pretty great though if you did decide to cover those safeties. The Jim Pattison Group is a Canadian conglomerate based in Vancouver. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Moderate Expected Return. Outlook for this round: High Risk, High Expected Return. 8845 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Gooblah 2:1 2 Federismo Gooblah. 27 votes, 34 comments. i made 2 safety bets on shipwreck's Stripey(3:1) combined with the two 2:1s in hidden in order to make it profitable. it's pretty weak too. You can set the bets to the amount you want to bet (cannot exceed what Neopets says is your max bet), then click the link on the right for each bet, which will place the bet for you on Neopets. 8-2. Standard set: 20% to bust | 75% to profit | 43% to double. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Low Expected Return. Outlook for this round: High Risk, Very High Expected Return. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. The gates will reopen at 2:15 PM, (about 16 minutes from now), and when they do, you can still place bets for this round! This round will end at 3:59 PM (about 2 hours from now). Expect a chance at a . General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs Outlook for this round: Moderate Risk, Moderate Expected Return. 13:1 upset in Lagoon :(Decent odds, and the arenas look beautifully simple to play today. Edit - 18:10. Edit - 24:10. 509%. 1000NP) . • 2 yr. 8905 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Stripey 2:1 2 Buck Stripey 4:1. Today is a little bit more of an average, calm day especially when compared to some of the recent craziness we've had this past. ). 6-1. Good Morning Neopia, the markets are looking slightly better today. The most valuable thing about food club is we all go through the same highs and lows together as a community. Here are some common questions about playing Food Club in general. Standard set: 30% to bust | 67% to profit | 56% to double. Expect a chance at a . Philadelphia 76ers Premier League UFC. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Moderate Expected Return. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. But if you only put in the first four bets, that bust rate goes up to 68. 8797. With Food Club resulting in 36:10 returns which isn't bad after a couple of days with breakevens and busts. Food Club Bets - July 03, 2023 by AutoModerator in neopets. The chances of getting a high win today are pretty low, but it's still very possible to play safe. This alt has the best chance. Our strong pirates are spread out across four different arenas, and no one pirate is exceptionally strong. 27 Posted by u/nsheng 8 months ago General Food Club FAQs Last updated on: Mar 15, 2023. that left enough space to bet on the two 2:1s from treasure and the 3 stronger pirates in. Two positive two to ones to play, and not a ton of upsets you have to cover. As much as I enjoy Food Club and will continue to follow Nsheng and his bets, reading your commentary really brought me so much joy everyday. Standard set: 31% to bust | 67% to profit/double | 63% to triple. Standard set: 13% to bust | 66% to profit. Edit - 8:10. The 2:1s are a bit weaker than yesterday though, so if you're going to play all three positive arenas fully, it'll be a bit riskier (I'm doing it, of course :P) Boosting with the other two arenas, minus Tailhook because his odds are down, lolGeneral Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. (You are able to bet for the next day, so the FC posts get posted the day before. Outlook for this round: Moderate Risk, High Expected Return. Though, that "Total possible winnings" number is usually misleading; that's the amount you'd get if you hit all of your bets, but the thing is, with most betting styles, it's impossible for that to happen. Still appreciate Nsheng for going through everyday and. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. 56:10 - a great start this year! Happy 2022! Let’s start this year out with a Gooblah win! Set Name: Gooblah and Two Goobers. Standard set: 0% to bust | 94% to at least 6:10. )Decent odds. Standard set: 28% to bust | 71% to profit | 66% to triple. You can also see your individual payout odds in NP based on your bets. Outlook for this round: High Risk, High Expected Return. nsheng • 2 mo. so that's why i've an. I estimate that around 20% of players play Food Club, and they earn on average 80K per day betting. Edit - 52:10. Edit - 18:10. then i have bets on all the non-13:1s from Shipwreck, Lagoon, and then the two 2:1s from Treasure--so no bet on federisimo(9:1) there. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. Outlook for this round: Moderate Risk, High Expected Return. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Low Expected Return. Since then I've told myself that skip days are "have fun wasting ~130k days" instead. Loading site please wait. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. There are flies buzzing around it, and it’s strongly saying, stay far, far away. I've been doing dailies and games for my main source of NPs. ), which can change throughout the day, so don’t worry if it doesn’t match exactly. Standard set: 5% to bust | 62% to profit. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Moderate Expected Return. 861% chance you'll bust-- that is, get nothing back/lose what you bet. 12:10 on all sets because of a single upset by Tailhook. Join. Come on Food Club, give me a break!!I don't answer this question publicly because I'm concerned that some people may get the wrong impression, like "nsheng follows X set, therefore X set must be the best set / nsheng must care the most about X set". 18 votes, 53 comments. It sucks, but it happens. Outlook for this round:. they'll open up the food club page and submit your bets. I really dislike nsheng randomly picking between two 50% 2:1s and basing most of the profit on that decision - what irks me more is that they are lucky and it pays off. shameless plug We've got a big fancy Food Club system in our Discord server, come check it out! Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Low Expected Return. And those memories are what's really worth something. Edit: Bust. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Moderate Expected Return. Lastly, we’ve got adventurous, which looks similar to aggressive. 8768 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Ned 2:1 2 Ned Dan 4:1. Really Federismo and Tailhook should win, but you can cover upsets on both of those and be happy. So I tried food club, I copied bets, even tried to do one for the right time, right day. Standard set: 11% to bust | 62% to profit. 8844 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Dan 2:1 2 Dan. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. Standard set: 30% to bust | 60% to profit | 48% to double. Standard set: 25% to bust | 73% to profit/double | 48% to quadruple. This also happens to be the same as nsheng's Aggressive set too :) Also, fun fact. You can see the odds on the lower portion of the linked bet page in Nsheng's post. Not covering all of Harpoon since I wanted room for that 8:1 booster bet as well, though. If both Dan and Gooblah lose, it's a bust. You'll see a button under your current bets table, click that and copy/paste here. 8943. 2. Food Club 2 bingo card with Goob chokes, Trash sweep, No 2:1 pirates win, Fool top units, Nsheng algo breaks down, Pirate odds change last minute, Stuff upset, Dice introduces. You'll see a button under your current bets table, click that and copy/paste here. I hope that a few bad days in Food Club doesn't get you down and in any case, a table with a TER over 10 is a win in my eyes. A thread for people to casually post their bets, discuss, ask questions, etc. 8835 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Buck Gooblah. But if you do, you'll get an 80-100% return, and that is way, way better than any kind of gambling or stocks in real life. " Aggressive gave me 59,800 NP in profit! Thank you, Food Club and nsheng! :D And now, let's see what Aggressive will do with my next 13,000 NP. 100. club site said MER on average will give a 2. 8X while Nsheng standard mitigates the lower floor and offsets into 1. Standard set: 15% to bust | 74% to profit | 60% to double. not nsheng but luck regardless of set is very volatile kind of like a volcano , i believe it is calculated by neofoodclub thing which is linked and updates in real time on probability. If you follow all the bets on this table, there's a 32. halibut, even oysters) is fried in crispy tempura batter and served with Kennebec. 24:10 yesterday and 150:70 for the past week. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. Thanks for the win yesterday! Outlook for this round: High Risk, High Expected Return. The FAQs linked in the main post above have more details. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. 8410. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Low Expected Return. Standard set: 31% to bust | 66% to profit | 61% to double. 8% profit chance, and a very close 73. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Moderate Expected Return. 19 votes, 53 comments. If Dan AND Gooblah win, he boosts with Shipwreck. Standard set: 14% to bust | 65% to profit. Thanks so much for sharing with us! I understand if you don't want to continue to post, but I hope you don't let the trolls get you down. With Food Club bets doing slightly better and SKBD slowly climbing. The people who designed the neofood. 155%. Playing Lagoon, Hidden, and Harpoon, though with a few gaps in the latter two arenas. Of course, as long as the odds of a 0:10 are above 0%, there is always a chance of loss. Standard set: 5% to bust | 66% to profit. Can anyone share where do you follow your bet analysis? A few pointers that are usually unspoken would. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. My max bet is 8. Standard set: 23% to bust | 75% to profit | 40% to double. Outlook for this round: Moderate Risk, High Expected Return. Risk adverse: nsheng beginner - 1 in 8 to bust and expect to land 1. Outlook for this round: Moderate Risk, Moderate Expected Return. You'll see a button under your current bets table, click that and copy/paste here. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Low Expected Return. Middle of the road: Nsheng aggressive offers slightly more bust risk at 1 in 3, but pulls your floor up into the 2x range. ago. Standard set: 33% to bust | 66% to profit/double | 41% to quadruple. Outlook for this round: Moderate Risk, Moderate Expected Return. Edit: 24:10. Standard set: 35% to bust | 60% to profit/double | 34% to quadruple. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Moderate Expected Return. 2 positive arenas today: treasure island is much stronger while shipwreck is weak. Standard set: 9% to bust | 88% to at least 8:10. Decent odds today. ago. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Moderate Expected Return. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Low Expected Return. Make sure to place all 10 bets, as shown in the video. Edit - 0:10. Luckily, the pirates allow us Neopians to gamble our Neopoints at their expense! You bet your Neopoints on pirates that you think will win by eating the food the fastest in the eating competition. Standard set: 20% to bust | 78% to profit | 44% to. 8895. 8765 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Gooblah 2:1 2 Gooblah Dan 4:1. Standard set: 10% to bust | 68% to break even. that left enough space to bet on the two 2:1s from treasure and the 3 stronger pirates in Lagoon -- so no bet on Peg Leg. 13% 4:10 odd and adds the . FOOD CLUB OF FATE - Picked up a 15:10 win on the last day of my practice rounds, Nov 1 is here so tracking has begun! - everyone has lots of conspiracies about FC (its honestly why I'm. 73% chance of winning, 51% chance of at least doubling. Another fairly straightforward day. full comments (15) report. Food Club definitely works consistently. If the cold streaks are a dealbreaker, then Standard is probably a more suitable set for you. today there are 3 positive arenas. . Standard set: 33% to bust | 67% to profit | 47% to double. I estimate that around 50% of players buy and sell stocks, and they earn on average 30K per day selling. Images/Names © Neopets, Inc. Outlook for this round: Moderate Risk, High Expected Return. "Though he's still relatively new to Food Club, this kid has the skills to become an all-time great. Decent odds to start off June! Playing Shipwreck, Lagoon (with a 10-bet on Goob), and Treasure, boosting with Hidden and Harpoon. Food Club Resources Place Bets…Edit - 0:10. 7% higher than aggressive, but it’s balanced out by adding on a tiny 2. I do a lot more safe bets and get smaller consistent wins. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Low Expected Return. 8836 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Buck Federismo. Edit - 18:10. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. 0:10 means the set busted, etc. Choose the correct winner for each arena, and you could win big! On average, you're looking at. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Moderate Expected Return. Edit - 112:10!!! The best result for this set! Pretty sure this is Standard's biggest win ever as well :D Incredible odds today, with four extremely strong arenas to play around!28. buttons on the right side. 8855 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Gooblah Buck 4:1 2. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. in Treasure i bet on the two 2:1s, Buck and Fran. Just ok odds, but extremely easy to play safe. Edit - 52:10. Hi everyone! We get a lot of questions on reddit about how to make foodclub bets, so i figured it might be best to make a video! This video will explain how. 8721 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Buck Dan Gooblah 8:1. Food Club Results Nsheng: 36:10 Beginner: 36:10 Standard: 36:10 Aggressive: 36:10 Adventurous: Good morning Neopia, relatively okay markets today. Better than nothing! Extremely weak odds, with only one (barely) positive 2:1. Food Club Bets. Edit: Bust again :/ Okay odds today. 8754 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Gooblah 2:1 2 Gooblah Buck 4:1. 21 votes, 53 comments. Standard set: 33% to bust | 66% to profit/double | 41% to quadruple. You'll see a button under your current bets table, click that and copy/paste here. The difference is, aggressive has a 29% rate of returning back 0, while adventurous has is. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. BUST RATE: 93. probability varies vary depend on who set it is . Odds aren't horrible. I usually bet Standard every day, but today it looks like >40% chance to lose money. We've got two good arenas and one usable booster arena. Put in whatever the guy at the food club told you, then on the left side click the green 'set bets amount to max'. Agreed with everything Nsheng said. You'll see a button under your current bets table, click that and copy/paste here. Standard set: 20% to bust | 71% to profit | 50% to double. Animals and Pets Anime Art Cars and Motor Vehicles Crafts and DIY Culture, Race, and Ethnicity Ethics and Philosophy Fashion Food and Drink History Hobbies Law Learning and Education Military Movies Music Place Podcasts and Streamers Politics Programming Reading, Writing, and Literature Religion and Spirituality Science Tabletop Games. 8-2. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. Okay, sappy time is over, let's get into the matchups. Too early to start food club!!! Thank you nsheng. Standard set: 8% to bust | 59% to profit. Playing their two arenas, while playing Lagoon like a semi-positive, and boosting with Treasure. Outlook for this round: Moderate Risk, Moderate Expected Return. elarth • 1 yr. Okay odds today. More good odds! Here's a fun set I came up with for the occasion. 8739 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Dan Gooblah Federismo 8:1. What do I do? I just checked for winnings and there’s nothing there. 69% profit, 50% double+. Then Shipwreck and Lagoon are just on the edge, both with identical odds(2:1 vs 3:1 vs 10:1 vs 13:1). 8793 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Edmund 2:1 2 Buck 2:1 3. You'll see a button under your current bets table, click that and copy/paste here. g. Go to comments and sorting by new, the top one is usually the latest one in the Beginner set. I need more time this month as we're approaching the end and I'm sitting on top of 26 busts, 1. Outlook for this round: Moderate Risk, Moderate Expected Return. I usually don't but today i 10-bet gooblah (he's against 13:1, 12:1, and 10:1) This is the correct bet page for August 13th. I'm ugly crying. There's a Food Club flair if it's buried. You can set the bets to the amount you want to bet (cannot exceed what Neopets says is your max bet), then click the link on the right for each bet, which will place the bet for you on Neopets. Outlook for this round: High Risk, Moderate Expected Return. In long run, you always win if TER number is about 10. Go to the Food Club thread here everyday and follow nsheng's charts. i actually considered a set where i covered every possible double-upset by the 3:1s. 2% expected profit respectively. Standard set: 20% to bust | 78% to profit | 44% to double. 8814 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Lucky Gooblah 4:1 2. 8747 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Dan Ned Gooblah 8:1. Standard set: 32% to bust | 66% to profit/double | 61% to triple. 509%. Have netted 3 mil profit so far in a couple weeks. 0. Standard set: 16% to bust | 71% to profit | 30% to double. r/neopets. I always bet max but max payout for a bet is $1mill so if you do a long shot bet, you may not be able to max bet. 2. Standard set: 22% to bust | 65% to profit | 38% to double. Pretty good odds today as well! Once again, we have a 10-bettable Goob and two other positive arenas too (though I won't play Shipwreck all the way since Federismo isn't as strong). Standard set: 14% to bust | 86% to profit | 50% to double. You're more likely than not to walk away with nothing. 8808 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Gooblah 2:1 2 Gooblah. Normal today has an expected profit of 43. 2% expected profit. Standard set: 5% to bust | 72% to profit. Unless one of those pirates has a ridiculously amazing food advantage you can pretty well predict those odds will shift to something more like 4:1, 5:1, 6:1. today there are 3 positive arenas. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Moderate Expected Return. . Standard set: 26% to bust | 62% to profit | 56% to double. Food Club inherently has what a textbook would call high variance: basically, even though in the longer term you'll make money (following any of the common bettor pages), in the short term it can swing wildly. nsheng. You need to place all 10 bets though, that's what sets are built around, just doing 2 bets makes it significantly harder. Standard set: 31% to bust | 60% to profit | 35% to double. In reality, because the results in this game are so volatile, it can take a very very long time for ROIs to converge meaningfully towards their expected values. We've got two pretty good arenas with passable safeties, as well as two pairs of 2:1s in other arenas we can use to boost. The first step to following bets is finding the Food Club Bets thread for the current date. Outlook for this round: High Risk, Very High Expected Return. No more entering your bets manually!Christ mentioned how to read nsheng's table before, so I am not lost but i guess I missed his short stories, I always look forward starting my day with looking up nsheng user on reddit, betting on food club and read his stories. TER: 24. 2. Outlook for this round: Low Risk, Moderate Expected Return. Shows you a successful bet. You're more likely than not to walk away with nothing. Click all 10 "Place bet!"Food Adjustment is not an impactful factor for determining each pirate's chance of winning; it's better to trust the 29. Standard set: 17% to bust | 72% to profit. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. I don't know how to forecast odds changes, so this is what I got for opening, but I'm hoping something changes that I can replace the booster (#7) with a Stripey bet. 8913 Shipwreck Lagoon Treasure Hidden Harpoon Odds 1 Stripey Gooblah Buck 8:1. General Food Club FAQs | Nsheng Sets/Strategy FAQs. Our version of Hi-Lo! See if you can get all 52 cards right. Standard set: 22% to bust | 75% to profit | 66% to double. Standard set: 26% to bust | 62% to profit | 56% to double. For questions related to nsheng's FC strategy, see this thread.